Guerre en Ukraine : bientôt l’heure de vérité entre les États-Unis et leurs alliés ?

Guerre en Ukraine : bientôt l’heure de vérité entre les États-Unis et leurs alliés ?

America, the Biden Administration, the Western world, still weighed the slightest comma against the master of the Kremlin, fearing a race towards the abyss. And Joe Biden multiplied the declarations with the punch, affirming…

America, the Biden Administration, the Western world, still weighed the slightest comma against the master of the Kremlin, fearing a race towards the abyss. And Joe Biden multiplied the declarations with the punch, affirming on April 4 that what was hatched in Ukraine was “a genocide”, before repeating it eight days later. This “dictator halfway around the world” was depriving Americans of cheap food and gasoline, worsening inflation and the global economic crisis. And he dared to raise the specter of a nuclear apocalypse!

Exposing Putin’s nuclear bluff

A month has passed, and there is no longer anyone in Washington to be ironic about the emotionality, even the supposed senility of the American head of state. “Joe Biden did not blunder, certifies Eliot Cohen, profession at the School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) at Johns Hopkins University, in Washington. He weighed his words, and displayed his objectives: one, to shake Putin’s certainties and sow uncertainty as to what he believes to be the next American measures. Two, designate him once and for all as a dangerous, reckless and brutal dictator, and make him a real pariah. Three, send a message to China, showing it the true nature of its Russian ally, uncontrollable in the global chess game being played with the West.

Four, one would be tempted to add, denounce Vladimir Putin’s nuclear bluff, while ceasing to fear his scares. US intelligence, crowned with its accurate forecasts of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, continues to assure Joe Biden, during each morning briefing in the West Wing of the White House, that the Kremlin will not start a fire at its borders, unless it senses an existential danger, in this case a land invasion by NATO.

Almost unanimous support from Congress

Freed from these existential questions in which many European capitals, Paris and Berlin in the lead, are still struggling, America has fired its cutie, helped by the heroism of the Ukrainian fighters. The dropper deliveries of Javelin man-portable anti-tank missiles gave way to a real airlift and an avalanche of heavy equipment, sanctioned by a historic decision: the reactivation of a lend-lease law dating from 1941 and intended to support the British then Soviet war effort, when the United States was still neutral.

“The United States will ask its allies more and more clearly if they are with them”

Extremely rare in an America politically cut in two, the tenant of the Oval Office can count on the almost unanimous support of Congress, Republicans and Democrats united in unfailing support for the Ukrainian resistance.

No return to the status quo ante

The time for procrastination is over. The turning point was played on April 26 at Ramstein Air Base in Germany. In front of 40 allied delegations, the United States displays its ambitions: to help the Ukrainians “win the war”, and “strategically weaken Russia”, so that it cannot prolong or repeat its aberrant “special military operation”. .

And after ? While French President Emmanuel Macron struggles to imagine a future peace agreement with a panting Russia, and to which “we will have to” extend a pole, experts across the Atlantic envisage a dark and upset future, leading to a geostrategic recomposition of the Old Continent. Eliot Cohen summarizes the broad lines: there will be no return to the status quo ante. “Managing a Russia dwelling on its defeat and its humiliation, weakened but still dangerous, isolated but still counting some benevolent relays in the world, will require all the American political know-how in the near future. »

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